Forecast discussion yard AFD
Next 72 hours — temperature PropertyCast vs models
Next 72 hours — precipitation blend
Chance of precipitation
Amount per hour
Aurora planner SWPC Kp × cloud cover
Frost odds — next 3 nights from verified error history · cover when odds beat each crop's cost/loss
Watering call ET0 deficit × ensemble rain odds
Insect timing degree days
Soil temperature learned from your probe
Growing degree days since Apr 1
Your yard's frost dates 40+ yr reanalysis × your offset
Harvest & bloom ETAs learned from your journal
Model skill 30-day · 6–24 h lead
Which PropertyCast you see v2 must beat v1 · Diebold-Mariano, 30 d
Reliability diagrams forecast % vs how often it happened · on the diagonal = honest odds
Probability scorecard are the odds honest?
Station health neighbor consensus QC
Data sources feed health at publish time
Observed — last 7 days temp / dewpoint